Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 9.955478e-05 0.000116 0.000134 0.000153 0.000175 0.000197 0.000222
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 6.773101e-05 0.000091 0.000118 0.000150 0.000186 0.000227 0.000275
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 5.205056e-05 0.000079 0.000111 0.000152 0.000201 0.000256 0.000323
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.928178e-05 0.000067 0.000103 0.000149 0.000208 0.000276 0.000360
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.041147e-05 0.000058 0.000096 0.000149 0.000215 0.000295 0.000395
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.738137e-05 0.000057 0.000100 0.000159 0.000237 0.000331 0.000450
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.270411e-05 0.000053 0.000097 0.000162 0.000248 0.000354 0.000491
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.947604e-05 0.000050 0.000097 0.000168 0.000263 0.000381 0.000535
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.620461e-05 0.000046 0.000095 0.000170 0.000273 0.000404 0.000574
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.188205e-05 0.000040 0.000089 0.000165 0.000273 0.000412 0.000596
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 7.861607e-06 0.000033 0.000080 0.000157 0.000268 0.000413 0.000607
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.596089e-06 0.000029 0.000075 0.000154 0.000270 0.000423 0.000631
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.950978e-06 0.000025 0.000072 0.000153 0.000275 0.000438 0.000661
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.425019e-06 0.000022 0.000067 0.000149 0.000276 0.000448 0.000684
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.700537e-06 0.000020 0.000065 0.000151 0.000285 0.000468 0.000722
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 9.375035e-07 0.000017 0.000062 0.000149 0.000288 0.000479 0.000747
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.868597e-07 0.000015 0.000059 0.000148 0.000292 0.000493 0.000776
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.654410e-07 0.000016 0.000063 0.000159 0.000314 0.000531 0.000837
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.747730e-07 0.000015 0.000062 0.000162 0.000324 0.000553 0.000877
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.759608e-07 0.000014 0.000063 0.000167 0.000338 0.000580 0.000924
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 8.094634e-08 0.000013 0.000063 0.000170 0.000348 0.000602 0.000963
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 4.374125e-09 0.000011 0.000058 0.000165 0.000346 0.000606 0.000980
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000008 0.000052 0.000156 0.000337 0.000602 0.000984